OCTA: COVID-19 cases in Metro Manila on downward trend

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Metro Manila (CNN Philippines, August 18) — The OCTA Research group on Thursday reported a downward trend in Metro Manila's COVID-19 cases, although it said the level of infections remains “significant.”

A report shared by OCTA fellow Guido David showed that the seven-day average of new cases in the national capital region (NCR) was at 1,173 as of Aug. 17 — a 9% decline from the average recorded the week before.

The reproduction rate, or the number of people infected by a single case, also slightly dropped to 1.03 on Aug. 14, from 1.18 on Aug. 7.

Meanwhile, the one-week positivity rate, or the percentage of infected people out of all tested, fell to 15.7% on Aug.16 from the prior week’s 17.1%.

OCTA said the COVID-19 healthcare utilization rate in Metro Manila was 37% as of Tuesday, while the ICU occupancy rate was 31%.

If the trends continue, the group said it expects less than 500 new cases daily in the region by end-August or by the first week of September.

It noted, however, that the area remains at “moderate risk,” as there is still substantial transmission.

Nationwide, active COVID-19 cases rose to 35,101 on Wednesday after 2,892 more infections were confirmed, data from the Department of Health showed. The country's total case tally is at over 3.84 million, including 3.74 million recoveries and 61,173 deaths.