LPA may become tropical depression by Saturday — PAGASA

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Metro Manila (CNN Philippines, December 9) — The low pressure area (LPA) east of Surigao del Sur, which is already bringing rains over Southern Luzon, the Visayas, and Mindanao, may intensify into a tropical depression by Saturday, the state weather bureau reported.

In its 4 a.m. update on Friday, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said the LPA is forecast to strengthen within the next 36 hours.

If this happens, it will be the 18th tropical cyclone to enter the country this year and will be named “Rosal.”

As of 3 a.m., PAGASA estimated the LPA to be at 610 kilometers east of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur. It is forecast to move toward the Eastern Visayas-Bicol area from Friday to Saturday.

“Pagsapit ng linggo, nasa silangan na ito ng Quezon at Aurora provinces, at nagsisimula na kumilos pahilaga. Ibig sabihin po, pagsapit ng Lunes ay nasa may silangan na ito ng Cagayan Valley, at nandyan na ‘yung malaking uncertainty kung ito’y magre-recur ba palihis, papalayo sa ating bansa, o tutuloy dito sa may silangan po ng Batanes,” said weather specialist Benison Estareja.

[Translation: On Sunday, it will be located east of Quezon and Aurora provinces, and is starting to move northward. This means that by Monday, it will be east of Cagayan Valley, and it is not certain if it will move away from the country or toward the east of Batanes.]

Due to the LPA’s trough, PAGASA said scattered rain showers and thunderstorms are expected on Friday in the Visayas, Mindanao, Bicol Region, Oriental Mindoro, Marinduque, Romblon, Quezon, Rizal, Laguna, and Batangas.

It warned that flash floods or landslides are possible in these areas due to moderate to at times heavy rains.

Meanwhile, the shear line — or the line where the northeasterly wind flow and the easterlies meet — will also bring rains over Metro Manila and the rest of Luzon, the weather bureau said